The Fifth Plague of Egypt, part III, plate 16 from Liber Stu­dio­rum,” Designed and etched by Joseph Mal­lord William Turn­er, 1808

Har­ris Bris­bane Dick Fund, 1928. The Met­ro­pol­i­tan Muse­um of Art

Is there an expla­na­tion of the ten plagues that does not include the Divine, but instead stands on science? 

This ques­tion was asked not only by con­tem­po­rary aca­d­e­m­ic schol­ars, his­to­ri­ans, and sci­en­tists — who used the best con­tem­po­rary the­o­ries to make sense of the bib­li­cal account of the plagues — but also by deeply reli­gious Jew­ish thinkers in the past . One exam­ple of this is found in the work of Yehu­da Ayyash (16881760) who lived in Algiers, where he rose to become rab­bi of the city before mak­ing his way to Jerusalem. In his com­men­tary on the Passover Hag­gadah, Ayyash asked why God threat­ened Pharaoh with the plague of pesti­lence (dev­er) using these spe­cif­ic words: “…the hand of the Lord will strike your live­stock in the fields” (Exo­dus 9:3). It would sure­ly have been obvi­ous that live­stock, which gen­er­al­ly spend time out­side in fields, would be smit­ten with the plague in those same fields. To explain why this loca­tion was specif­i­cal­ly men­tioned, Ayyash reminds his read­ers of the eti­ol­o­gy of plagues — what today we might call their sci­en­tif­ic expla­na­tions. Plagues were thought to have been caused by foul air, or mias­mas, which poi­soned those who breathed it in. There­fore, when a plague struck, it was best to flee to a place where the air was clean of these poi­so­nous vapors, and this often meant leav­ing the con­fines of one’s home and liv­ing in open fields: 

It was impor­tant to note that in a pan­dem­ic [mage­fah] most of the sick­ness is caused by poi­so­nous air and foul smells. There­fore, many peo­ple flee to the fields and orchards and mead­ows, open spaces where there is no foul air, but instead the air is pure and clean and sweet…And it is here that the Egyp­tians were forced to acknowl­edge the hand of God and his prov­i­dence, because they real­ized that these deaths were not natural…for they occurred in the fields and not inside, which is the oppo­site of what usu­al­ly hap­pens. This is the hand of God and there is none like Him.

This account was pub­lished some two cen­turies before a ratio­nal eti­ol­o­gy of the ten plagues became a top­ic of sci­en­tif­ic inter­est. While this deeply reli­gious approach of Rab­bi Ayyash might con­flict with the method­ol­o­gy of those who would ana­lyze the words of the Bible through a sci­en­tif­ic lens, it demon­strates that even tra­di­tion­al Jews turned to the sci­en­tif­ic the­o­ries of their time as a start­ing point for under­stand­ing the sig­nif­i­cance of bib­li­cal mir­a­cles. Although Ayyash under­stood the plague of pesti­lence as a super­nat­ur­al event and a rever­sal of the nat­ur­al order, it could only be com­pre­hend­ed as such using the wide­ly accept­ed the­o­ry of mias­mas to explain how it mirac­u­lous­ly evert­ed the nat­ur­al order.

There is a long list of sci­en­tif­ic expla­na­tions of the ten plagues. For exam­ple, in 1957, Gre­ta Hort sug­gest­ed that the plagues began with silt that was washed into the Nile from one of its flood­ed trib­u­taries. The riv­er was over­run with bac­te­ria which caused the fish in it to die. As a result, the frogs would have to leave their nor­mal biotope and seek refuge on dry land.” How­ev­er, Hort the­o­rizes that the frogs them­selves died from anthrax, one of those bac­te­ria that bloomed in the Nile. The plague of lice” was actu­al­ly a mos­qui­to infes­ta­tion, and the fourth plague, a swarm­ing of fleas, is the sud­den mass mul­ti­pli­ca­tion of some insect or oth­er and its just as sud­den dis­ap­pear­ance, as it is known to every­one who has lived for any length of time in trop­i­cal or sub­trop­i­cal regions.” The dec­i­ma­tion of the cat­tle was caused by their ingest­ing fod­der con­t­a­m­i­nat­ed with the same anthrax that killed off the frogs. When the anthrax bacil­lus lat­er infect­ed the Egyp­tians, it caused the skin pus­tules described in the sixth plague. Hort’s series of unfor­tu­nate events stops at this plague; she pos­tu­lat­ed that the last four plagues were not interconnected.

Despite the impor­tance of the plagues to the Exo­dus sto­ry, nowhere in the Bible is it list­ed that there are only ten of them.

Alter­na­tive­ly, per­haps microbes were respon­si­ble for the plagues. One pos­si­bil­i­ty is a tiny sin­gle-celled pro­to­zoon which goes by the sci­en­tif­ic name of Try­panoso­ma evans and which caus­es dis­ease in cat­tle; anoth­er sus­pect is the rove bee­tle, which pro­duces a blis­ter-induc­ing tox­in. Per­haps molds played a part. They would have grown quick­ly in the wet and humid con­di­tions of Egypt’s grain stores, and here they could have released dan­ger­ous myco­tox­ins. In bib­li­cal times (and long beyond) first­born sons were always treat­ed more favor­ably. Maybe, dur­ing the famine that must have fol­lowed the pre­vi­ous plagues, any lit­tle food that might have remained inside the hous­es would have been giv­en to the first­born. This food would have been moldy and tox­ic in view of the rain, hail, and dark­ness. In the mold the­o­ry, the vic­tims of the tenth plague were killed by the very prej­u­dices of a soci­ety that had favored them. Oth­er imag­i­na­tive expla­na­tions have involved vol­ca­noes and cli­mate change.

Despite the impor­tance of the plagues to the Exo­dus sto­ry, nowhere in the Bible is it list­ed that there are only ten of them. When they are men­tioned in the Book of Psalms (which they are, twice), they are reduced to only sev­en in num­ber. In Psalm 78, no men­tion is made of lice and dark­ness; in Psalm 105 dark­ness is men­tioned as the first plague, not the ninth. This sug­gests that there had been dif­fer­ent tra­di­tions about both the num­ber and the nature of the plagues, which were lat­er uni­fied in the account found in Exo­dus. In light of this, it is dif­fi­cult to give cre­dence to any of the dif­fer­ing attempts to explain the nat­ur­al caus­es and order of the ten plagues, no mat­ter how imag­i­na­tive they are.

Regard­less of which of these high­ly con­jec­tur­al expla­na­tions might be cor­rect, the authors of the Bible would have described the plagues in terms that would res­onate with their con­tem­po­raries. Those for whom the sto­ry was first writ­ten would have rec­og­nized many fea­tures of the plagues described in the Book of Exo­dus. They would have nod­ded their heads at the accounts of lice infes­ta­tions, skin boils, and sud­den deaths, for they were also fea­tures of their own lived expe­ri­ence. The ten plagues described in Exo­dus includ­ed both nat­ur­al dis­as­ters and epi­demics, which, just as they do today, claimed lives in a capri­cious and ran­dom way. 

Jere­my Brown is a physi­cian and his­to­ri­an of sci­ence and med­i­cine and directs the Office of Emer­gency Care Research at the Nation­al Insti­tutes of Health. His pre­vi­ous books include Influen­za: The Hun­dred-Year Hunt to Cure the Dead­liest Dis­ease in His­to­ry, New Heav­ens and a New Earth: The Jew­ish recep­tion of Coper­ni­can Thought, Car­di­ol­o­gy Emer­gen­cies, and as edi­tor, The Oxford Amer­i­can Hand­book of Emer­gency Medicine.